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Lecture Retailing management (6/e): Chapter 13 - Levy Weitz

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Chapter 13
Merchandise Planning

McGraw­Hill/Irwin
Retailing Management, 6/e

Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw­Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.


13-

Merchandise Management
Planning
Merchandise
Assortments

Retail
Communication
Mix
Merchandise
Planning
Systems

Buying
Merchandise

Pricing

2



Types of Buying Systems

The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc./Ken Cavanagh Photographer

3

Fashion Merchandise
Unpredictable Demand
Limited Sales History
Difficult to Forecast Sales
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc./Lars A. Niki,
photographer

Staple Merchandise
Predictable Demand
History of Past Sales
Relatively Accurate
Forecasts

13-


13-

Staple Merchandise Planning

4

Staple merchandise planning systems provide information
needed to assist buyers by performing three functions:

•Monitoring and measuring current sales for items at the
SKU level
•Forecasting future SKU demand with allowances made for
seasonal variations and changes in trend
•Developing ordering decision rules for optimum restocking


13-

Staple Merchandise Planning

5

Most merchandise
at home
improvement
centers are
staples.

Ryan McVay/Getty Images


136

Inventory Levels for Staple Merchandise


137

Factors Determining Backup Stock

• Level of backup depends on product availability retailer
wishes to provide
• The greater the fluctuation in demand, the more backup
stock is needed
• The amount of backup stock needed is also affected by
the lead time from the vendor
• Fluctuations in lead time affect the amount of backup
stock
• Vendor’s product availability affects retailers’ backup
stock requirements


Relationship between Inventory 8
Investment and Product Availability
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
80
85
90
95
Product Availability (Percent)

100

13-



13-

Cycle and Backup Stock

Units Available

150 -

Order 96
Cycle
Stock

100 Buffer
Stock

50 -

0-

1

2

3
Weeks

4


9


Basic Stock List


1310

Indicates the Desired Inventory Level for
Each SKU
– Amount of Stock Desired

Lost Sale Due
to Stockout
Cost of Carrying
Inventory


Inventory Management Report for11
Rubbermaid Merchandise

13-


Order Point

1312

• Order point = the point at which inventory
available should not go below or else we will

run out of stock before the next order arrives.
• Assume Lead time = 0, Order point = 0
• Assume Lead time = 3 weeks, review time =
1 week, demand = 100 units per week
• Order point = demand (lead time + review
time) + buffer stock
• Order point = 100 (3+1) = 400


13-

Order Point continued

13

• Assume Buffer stock = 50 units, then
• Order point = 100 (3+1) + 50 = 450
• We will order something when order point
gets below 450 units.


Calculating the Order Point

1314

Order Point = (Demand/Day) x (Lead Time
+Review Time) + Backup Stock
167 units = (7 units x (14 + 7 days) + 20 units
So Buyer Places Order When Inventory in Stock
Drops Below 167 units



Merchandise Planning for
Fashionable Merchandise
• Steps in Developing a Merchandise Budget
Plan
• Set margin and inventory turn goals
• Seasonal sales forecast for category
• Breakdown sales forecast by month
• Plan reductions – markdowns, inventory loss
• Determine stock needed to support forecasted
sales
• Determine “open to buy” for each money

1315


Merchandise Budget Plan
• Plan for the financial
aspects of a merchandise
category
• Specifies how much money
can be spent each month to
achieve the sales, margin,
inventory turnover, and
GMROI objectives.
• Not a complete buying
plan--doesn’t indicate what
specific SKUs to buy or in
what quantities.


1316

Royalty-Free/CORBIS


Six Month Merchandise Plan for
Women’s Casual Slacks

1317


18
Monthly sales percent Distribution to Season
(Line 1)

Sales % Dist. to
1. Month
6 mo. data
April
100.00%

May
21.00%

June
12.00%

July
12.00%


Aug
19.00%

Sept
21.00%

13-

15.00%


1319

Monthly sales (Line 2)
Sales % Dist. to
1. Month
6 mo. data
April
100.00%
15.00%
2. Mo. Sales $130,000
$27,300

May
21.00%

June
12.00%


July
12.00%

Aug
19.00%

$15,600

$15,600 $24,700 $27,300

Sept
21.00%
$19,500


Monthly Reductions Percent Distribution
20
(Line 3)
Reduction % Distribution to
3. Month
6 mo. data
100.00%

April
40.00%

May
14.00%

June

16.00%

July
12.00%

Aug
10.00%

Sept
8.00%

13-


13-

Shrinkage

21

Inventory loss caused by shoplifting, employee
theft, merchandise being misplaced or damaged
and poor bookkeeping.
Retailers measure shrinkage by taking the
difference between
1. The inventory recorded value based on
merchandise bought and received
2. The physical inventory actually in stores and
distribution centers



1322

Monthly Reductions
Reduction % Distribution to
3. Month
6 mo. data
April
100.00%
40.00%
4. mo.
reductions $16,500
$6,600

May
14.00%
$2,310

June
16.00%
$2,640

July
12.00%
$1,980

Aug
10.00%
$1,650


Sept
8.00%
$1,320


Beginning of Month Stock to sales ratio
23
(Line 5)
5. BOM Stock to Sales Ratio
6 mo. data
April
4.0
3.6

May
4.4

June
4.4

July
4.0

Aug
3.6

Sept
4.0

13-



1324

BOM Stock (Line 6)
6. BOM Inventory
6 mo. data
98280

April
98280

May
68460

June
68640

July
98800

Aug
98280

Sept
78000


1325


EOM Stock (Line 7)
7. EOM Inventory
6 mo. data
85600

April
68640

May
68460

June
275080

July
98280

Aug
78000

Sept
65600


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