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KINH tế VIỆT NAM 2014 VÀ TRIỂN VỌNG 2015

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chi ngân sách trong ngắn hạn.
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G?W< I/ I / I L IV /  Q/  
d7SOKqMU L   V  Q L
KLM=>0#
BXfv7l "$1 D= *) -81'
$&F6d7 'cTL OKqM/&3"[&LOKqM
T;WA&]]d7!.+W$1,WA^7:8*
P/P*:N.?wD%?1)VVxuqd7;
W.*[ T&3$&*;
0$<C

2.1. Các nguyên nhân có tính cơ cấu
IG\X."$g.Y
yG71+*."7 "DdF&CCX1;
y71z"9-)(.Xj1?t  "&F
C[&XX1;W9)1+FF&
!\$;
yG\X.1!:Xf 71.*&Dd9+.
>D?;
yn.&D5"+&$z&->,&FN.*9+
1D5SqU;
<0#-8"Ddq&3)$';1&!.2
V+ZD5(.8_)\;1*S))
"!9-8qUDg1&D5 9.f7
*D559.7* . g,)7*4&Dd7"_
&3"Z+qKqMz=cX &TO Z
Dd,ed(X.+q_\;
2.2. Nguyên nhân về mô hình tăng trưởng
<7D=+*.>->*.8&!.
.*[&(.Xo.6 X"&FX1;1+?8f X
:Ce);
NI0O08;#'":*&#E# O'1 :OPQ*
WA)-+Wfc@&FN.8Ss@{UT X"&F
+R:h|+W@ P+<"*- Pan.8 Pu1A;
?8f X&1D=*)YWAB
D%[T D=WrM&$)T O )(.8
OV /O 1e(.8D5O;
:!0!7!;</ $<&4 =471!
!>!71?!1!57!@A%B7)&C
4'!!D'#E%E!75'!$ F)= G!H9
2.3. Những nguyên nhân từ điều hành kinh tế

M)c,-=F-8%&7d1"i "1c$1[
l-?.2*.l9\X.7D=;
2.4. Những biểu hiện tương đồng trong khủng hoảng tài chính và suy thoái
kinh tế toàn cầu với bất ổn vĩ mô ở Việt Nam.
0$<C  E#
IKC9"*
>
J+)9
   &F &   
>
K  C    -)    ,
  X1  9.    C
>
IB::X&F-) J+  )    
>&F &F&
CD%,
u>e8+CD%
:X&F-)d(X.
&F&>
IMX?&8
+ 9     "5
X5"aJb
W.n.8
a  JbY  W[.  #
9. ,"}*,;
W.  n.8Y  W[.  #
, ,"}*9.;

W, &!.D9.
'  c    

TOPKqM  S  &$
ILU  (.8  _
VOPKqM  S  &$
QIU &!.
D'TVO"[ O
#%;
E#  FR27@'1)5I1A
R27@'@S1B-*&#T
WQP n.EW9N.8Ss<rU&3&9.R$cD=+
5&0&f:X"&9.R)8&FD=-5>:
P &-> *)+9"5;

@>0@YChính phủbuông lỏng, Các định chế tài chính tham lam,
Cơ chế quản lý thị trường tài chính bất cẩn
Bảng: Dự báo kinh tế thế giới của IMF (Tháng 7)
UU-E# V@"W0 1)X27@'*( ,
5I1A
 ?G<0 2*EV@
P*":RYZ[\  /  /
*! /!'  VL
*! /!' 
I/  TT
*! /6! " L 
]^ H@Z[\ Q  T/OS-5WPTU
D5Q_+X` IO
 OS&LP/5&$ O #->D=
$Q/S~UDzX1.
X(-5cIO>;
a08KH-b0
J)1!K WO W VO-5#bT

L!D'1!K  WO-5#bT
:!E!!JL*  y TZxuqS QO•JU
0c*CO@*
M!#$!  PL&$/ O>
:!#$!  PL&$ LO>;
="W0QLd:  W/ O-5#bST OKqMU
VRe7@;fgR  W QOS-.&3"$'*.8U
SUUR  
NL!!D'%  K) OV TO98&iS-5#bU
NL!!O
!5P  WL TO-5#b;
NL3O!5PB
!5P5  K) QO-5D5;
KLMYJv7f&C8\ "$1) &/GMs5=
c /O-5P;q>:) GMsDdN. O-5
PT;9&3&*&g3&&"[Df!.z*.
d(X.7&Dd)N.*.N.)&(.D5"[ ,e7&
&Dd5968&F1e]g;
J.>1zX R-8N.)C.AauBG .*
z=c[&OD&3-e)"[e;9.&"D.i".
>D?**.& Z(.Xo.+.>*/
R_T QOf$+)D5 $(.X
o.+8rqs&3"[5LQ TO;a81?18}&:C&!.D
D5(?"X rqs}&3Z!QOfC-)(.X7
1)D5;W*"8*(X.".D=&"95
,"}*D%F"> -c$+qD5~?*"F?.
j!&Dd&0F[t;
Q@&P7YJ&$cD= /ODR[.;..8&$
1)[!.7 €SD&3'"UD&?*"
D=7.N.);X&97R"8&FD=N.\

"c$D=;.)N.*&Ddd(X. )7D%
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$&$&;S<F-8[c.Rh .)
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S\9.cD=+T-5U;
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(X.\X.q;U
IG,-&N.E&!.D )N.E&!.DD5
D%.:dS-ƒ@.g:X&F-)@.g=U;
IW&9.f!.*. "$1X1&(.X-[. (A(l)
&9.R$q)TO&.*,(.Xo.17
1wd;
D?@*7EH@H50X)^
3.2. 1.Đẩy mạnh tái cơ cấu nền kinh tế
I•?*>CD%&$>[:eFSCD% 
D5(3FU &?*"9&9N.*&C&\X.9;
IG)qYWf1!qI:1!8q
D57!42f1!;f5N.)CqD5_4
2f1!18 &?*"F.+*.+\X.q;WA&SU>
:$$&F+q6SU1&0Z".gCD%$&F

+q6SU"$:j->1?:&8(ƒ}171?:
1! $"g17D%$:&…2q6SU1?&C
† N.*9$++-=2.D5&$+-=2.$q;W
5c>+-=2.D5j\N.>cN.)"i
D5;
Io*$\X.71 45(?*>775;?*"F
.&3&Dd)&9-51(?*>775&3&$&Dd
F-8>;W.*[ ivN.9,C(3F+71
777? !&$\X.7145(?*>775
FF.?+\X.S#5:F.?C
N.*+aFCW‡sss&3(&CU;
W\X.71!&Dd&]%[D5Y
yJ.*,g1..F&XA71D\c.
#*.F&0&'&C: h$#-)(."5 .*[
;n.&&D717-)(.X71 N.)"i
X"Dd->1o f&C.]. .wC'
.7] :&"D.7 :)&)1?18"d,d1"i2?.
.wC&;
yˆe7 &0:"7- 77
 E.g.7] :71 ':D52fd1
7I717;
yG\.*,q )qrqs&!.D717
7 h$9.95 t&o*.*C\X."&F
7177;
3.2.2. Chuyển đổi mô hình tăng trưởng
Io*$ce7 &0:"77SGWWU
-)(.XN.)"i GWW"F9)+1D\c15;?
c&1+?8f XY7 X"Dd.]
?">EN.)"i&$SWrMUD=;?*,")11\
:)&?. X-ƒe8 )-8sG{‰&!.D

IM71wd $&9.!->1e.F9.*[
".&!.-)1o.W.n.8;
3.2.3 Chủ động hội nhập quốc tế, xây dựng chương trình hành động nhằm tận
dụng các cơ hội, vượt qua những thách thức khi nước ta tham gia các Hiệp định Mậu
dịch tự do mới, nhất là TPP và FTA Việt Nam - EU9S9

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