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THE ECONOMICS OF MONEY,BANKING, AND FINANCIAL MARKETS 366

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334

PA R T I V

The Management of Financial Institutions
example, you are likely to take actions that enable you to pay it back because you
don t want to hurt your credit rating for the future. However, if the bank lends you
$10 million, you are more likely to fly off to Rio to celebrate. The larger your loan,
the greater your incentives to engage in activities that make it less likely that you
will repay the loan. Because more borrowers repay their loans if the loan amounts
are small, financial institutions ration credit by providing borrowers with smaller
loans than they seek.

MAN AG I NG IN T ERE ST- RAT E RI SK
With the increased volatility of interest rates that occurred in the 1980s, banks and
other financial institutions became more concerned about their exposure to
interest-rate risk, the riskiness of earnings and returns that is associated with
changes in interest rates. To see what interest-rate risk is all about, let s take a look
at the balance sheet of the First Bank:

First Bank
Assets
Rate-sensitive assets
Variable-rate and
short-term loans
Short-term securities
Fixed-rate assets
Reserves
Long-term loans
Long-term securities


Liabilities
$20 million

Rate-sensitive liabilities
Variable-rate CDs

$50 million

$80 million

Fixed-rate liabilities
Chequable deposits
Savings deposits
Long-term CDs
Equity capital

$50 million

A total of $20 million of its assets are rate-sensitive, with interest rates that
change frequently (at least once a year), and $80 million of its assets are fixed-rate,
with interest rates that remain unchanged for a long period (over a year). On the
liabilities side, the First Bank has $50 million of rate-sensitive liabilities and
$50 million of fixed-rate liabilities. Suppose that interest rates rise by 5 percentage
points on average, from 10% to 15%. The income on the assets increases by $1 million ( 5%
$20 million of rate-sensitive assets), while the payments on the liabilities increase by $2.5 million ( 5%
$50 million of rate-sensitive liabilities).
The First Bank s profits now decline by $1.5 million ( $1 million $2.5 million).
Conversely, if interest rates fall by 5 percentage points, similar reasoning tells us
that the First Bank s profits increase by $1.5 million. This example illustrates the
following point: If a bank has more rate-sensitive liabilities than assets, a

rise in interest rates will reduce bank profits and a decline in interest rates
will raise bank profits.

Gap Analysis

One simple and quick approach to measuring the sensitivity of bank income to
changes in interest rates is gap analysis (also called income gap analysis), in
which the amount of rate-sensitive liabilities is subtracted from the amount of ratesensitive assets. This calculation, GAP, can be written as



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